A risk score to predict bleeding in patients with acute coronary syndromes
Randomized controlled trial published in J Am Coll Cardiol (2010)
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to develop a practical risk score to predict the risk and implications of major bleeding in acute coronary syndromes (ACS). BACKGROUND: Hemorrhagic complications have been strongly linked with subsequent mortality in patients with ACS. METHODS: A total of 17,421 patients with ACS (including non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction [MI], ST-segment elevation MI, and biomarker negative ACS) were studied in the ACUITY (Acute Catheterization and Urgent Intervention Triage strategY) and the HORIZONS-AMI (Harmonizing Outcomes with RevasculariZatiON and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction) trials. An integer risk score for major bleeding within 30 days was developed from a multivariable logistic regression model. RESULTS: Non-coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG)-related major bleeding within 30 days occurred in 744 patients (7.3%) and had 6 independent baseline predictors (female sex, advanced age, elevated serum creatinine and white blood cell count, anemia, non-ST-segment elevation MI, or ST-segment elevation MI) and 1 treatment-related variable (use of heparin + a glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor rather than bivalirudin alone) (model c-statistic = 0.74). The integer risk score differentiated patients with a 30-day rate of non-CABG-related major bleeding ranging from 1% to over 40%. In a time-updated covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model, major bleeding was an independent predictor of a 3.2-fold increase in mortality. The link to mortality risk was strongest for non-CABG-related Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI)-defined major bleeding followed by non-TIMI major bleeding with or without blood transfusions, whereas isolated large hematomas and CABG-related bleeding were not significantly associated with subsequent mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ACS have marked variation in their risk of major bleeding. A simple risk score based on 6 baseline measures plus anticoagulation regimen identifies patients at increased risk for non-CABG-related bleeding and subsequent 1-year mortality, for whom appropriate treatment strategies can be implemented.
Abstract sourced from PubMed (NCBI) for the cited record. See the original publication for the authoritative version.
Резюме
The aim of this study was to develop a practical risk score to predict the risk and implications of major bleeding in acute coronary syndromes (ACS).
Почему это важно для гирудотерапии
В данном исследовании разработана целочисленная шкала риска для прогнозирования большого кровотечения в течение 30 дней у 17 421 пациента с острыми коронарными синдромами из исследований ACUITY и HORIZONS-AMI; были выделены шесть предикторов исходного состояния и одна переменная, связанная с лечением, — применение гепарина в комбинации с ингибитором гликопротеина IIb/IIIa вместо монотерапии бивалирудином. Шкала риска дифференцировала пациентов с частотой кровотечений от 1% до более 40%, а большое кровотечение было независимо ассоциировано с 3,2-кратным увеличением смертности. В аннотации бивалирудин упоминается в качестве антикоагулянта сравнения, однако не приводится информации, связывающей его с пиявками, гирудином или гирудотерапией. Следовательно, релевантность статьи для области ASH по данным аннотации не установлена.
Цитирование
A risk score to predict bleeding in patients with acute coronary syndromes.
Mehran R et al. · J Am Coll Cardiol, 2010
Связанный клинический контекст
Узнайте, как это исследование связано с клинической практикой
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